As such scholars as Larry Diamond have pointed out, the number of democracies around the world has fallen since 2005.
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One issue is that of democratic transition. They therefore think that military leaders want to redraw the rules of the game to something like a “Proportional Representation” system in order to reduce the electoral strength of the NLD.Īpart from these institutional perspectives, there are analysts who look at more general trends and political phenomena that might have had impact on military thinking preceding the coup. Others said that, in terms of institutions, the military might think that they cannot compete in elections with the charismatic Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the National League for Democracy (NLD) under the “First Past The Post” electoral system. For personal reasons, some said the current Commander-in-Chief has to take retirement this year, and he is afraid of taking a pension without power because he has committed a massive crime against the Rohingya community. Some analysts have searched for the reasons for the military coup based on personal and institutional perspectives. The military coup took place three weeks ago, and the protests in urban areas are still continuing. Across the country, people are struggling to understand what has happened and why. I was shocked and the trip was immediately cancelled. that night, one of my closest friends phoned me and said: “The military has staged a coup and detained the State Counsellor and the President”. I had planned to travel to the Sagaing Region on 1 February. Myanmar, formerly known as Burma, gained independence from Britain in 1948, but has been under military rule for much of its modern history.Demonstration by the General Strike Committee Nationalities, Yangon, 24 February As transportation connections start to expand, you’re going to see more engagement with those markets and the push from supply goes further and further from the point of production, which is a concern,” he said.
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“It is already a big economy, before the coup, even after COVID-19, it continued to expand. This is against the backdrop of on-the-ground conditions, and these conditions are perfect for these people to do this business, So that the illegal economy can be developed because of the legal decline.”ĭouglas said Myanmar’s Shan State is a production point for illicit drugs being distributed in the Asia Pacific region and added that as the market economy collapses in Myanmar, those out of work are employed in the drug trade. “The synthetic drug economy has proven its ability to expand very rapidly, so it has really grown. Speaking at the FCCT event on November 17, Douglas said the illegal economy is “diverse,” including heroin and methamphetamine.įirefighters spray water as flames and smoke from burning illicit drugs during a destruction ceremony to mark the International Day against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking outside Yangon, Myanmar on J. The analyst acknowledged that a slight increase in trade may be possible as borders are expected to open up with China and Russia continuing to supply equipment to the military.īut Jeremy Douglas, the regional representative for the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, said that as the legal economy declines, the illegal drug trade between crime groups is on the rise. There doesn’t seem to be any potentially credible investment in 2022.
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He told the VOA it is very likely to revert to the status of “the last frontier in Asia” as some claimed in Myanmar’s initial opening in 2012. I do not see any signs of improvement for Myanmar’s economy in the coming year. “Other neighboring countries show signs of recovery from the COVID-19 crisis. Political analyst Aung Thu Nyen believes that Myanmar’s economy is unlikely to see any positive recovery. FILE – People disembark from a ferry at Pansodan Jetty in Yangon, Myanmar, on November 12, 2021.